Carbon Brief·4 min read·medium

State of the climate: Rapidly developing El Niño raises chance of record-warm 2026

Z
Zeke Hausfather
State of the climate: Rapidly developing El Niño raises chance of record-warm 2026
AI Summary

A rapidly developing El Niño event is significantly increasing the probability that 2026 will set a new global temperature record. Data from multiple climate monitoring groups indicates that the first half of 2026 has been among the warmest on record.

As 2026 passes its halfway point, the world is watching one of the most rapidly intensifying El Niño events in the modern record take shape in the tropical Pacific.

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