What Ukraine and Iran teach us about deterrence
The use of low-cost drones by Iran and in the Ukraine conflict is challenging traditional military power structures by forcing expensive defense systems to engage cheap targets. This shift in asymmetric warfare is forcing global powers to rethink their deterrence strategies.
Iran has launched large numbers of one-way attack drones costing only thousands of dollars each into the Persian Gulf, complicating operations for U.S. Navy destroyers worth billions of dollars and forcing the United States to expend interceptor missiles costing millions.The battlefield value of these capabilities is now widely recognized. Their impact on deterrence, however, remains far less understood. As states integrate drones, missiles and other emerging technologies into their force structures, the wars in Ukraine and Iran offer important lessons about both the promise and the limits of asymmetric warfare.Asymmetric capabilities
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